Negroponte's $150 Billion Dollar OLPC XO "Boat"
Posted on November 30, 2006 by Wayan Vota in People: Negroponte, Sales Talk: Price
Today's New York Times has a great article on the One Laptop Per Child program right on page 1. There is an online version that includes a great graphic of the OLPC Children's Machine XO.
In the article Nichols Negroponte takes exception that so much attention is focused on the Children's Machine XO and not the educational goals of the OLPC program with this choice quote:
"It’s as if people spent all of their attention focusing on Columbus’s boat and not on where he was going," he said in an interview here. "You have to remember that what this is about is education."Reading that quote, I was struck by several failures in the analogy. The first and foremost is a total lack of information about the education process Negroponte envisions. All we have to study today is the very thin, 1,200 word, Learning Vision on the OLPC Wiki. So far, we are still ISO an implementation plan and we do not even know if there is a cultural integration plan. So we focus on what we do know, Negroponte's "boat".
Unlike Columbus, who used standard sailing ships of his day, OLPC has designed a whole new laptop, a computer that would be like designing a regatta yacht or solo round-the-world racer to reach the New World in 1492. Negroponte should be proud of his technical leap, his great innovative stride that would make Columbus jealous.
Columbus would also be jealous of Negroponte's financing. The Portuguese Italian explorer did not ask for 73% of the entire government budget nor did his ask Spain for debt financing for his exploration. And Columbus definitely did not ask for $150 Billion in start-up costs!
Previously, we broke the news that OLPC's goal is $30 Billion dollars per year. But looking closely at the New York Times photograph of Nicholas Negroponte and Walter Bender, you'll see a white-board in the background.
And on that white-board you'll see a very interesting diagram: Start Up: $150 Billion, Steady State: $30 Billion
OLPC is estimating start-up costs of $150 Billion dollars!
Let's put that massive number into perspective. If OLPC obtained commitments of $150 Billion dollars, they would rank as Number 8 on the Forutne 500 list, between Citicorp, $131 Billion, and General Electric, $157 Billion, in annual revenues. At $150 Billion, OLPC would be three times the size of the entire US Department of Education's budget of $56 Billion, and it would utterly dwarf its parent; MIT's endowment is a paltry $8 Billion dollars in comparison.
The $150 Billion dollar target of OLPC would even dwarf the proposed budget for US military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, estimated to be $130 Billion dollars And that's the budget that Walter Bender whips out whenever he's asked to justify the astronomical fanciful hallucinatory One Laptop Per Child financial goals.
At $150 Billion dollars at start up, and $30 Billion dollars steady state, we sure better be asking about Negroponte's "boat"! The world's children do not want to find themselves far up debt creek without a paddle.



