Posted on November 30, 2006 by Wayan Vota in People: Negroponte, Sales Talk: Price


Walter, Nicholas, and OLPC XO

Today's New York Times has a great article on the One Laptop Per Child program right on page 1. There is an online version that includes a great graphic of the OLPC Children's Machine XO.

In the article Nichols Negroponte takes exception that so much attention is focused on the Children's Machine XO and not the educational goals of the OLPC program with this choice quote:

"It’s as if people spent all of their attention focusing on Columbus’s boat and not on where he was going," he said in an interview here. "You have to remember that what this is about is education."
Reading that quote, I was struck by several failures in the analogy. The first and foremost is a total lack of information about the education process Negroponte envisions. All we have to study today is the very thin, 1,200 word, Learning Vision on the OLPC Wiki. So far, we are still ISO an implementation plan and we do not even know if there is a cultural integration plan. So we focus on what we do know, Negroponte's "boat".

Unlike Columbus, who used standard sailing ships of his day, OLPC has designed a whole new laptop, a computer that would be like designing a regatta yacht or solo round-the-world racer to reach the New World in 1492. Negroponte should be proud of his technical leap, his great innovative stride that would make Columbus jealous.

Columbus would also be jealous of Negroponte's financing. The Portuguese Italian explorer did not ask for 73% of the entire government budget nor did his ask Spain for debt financing for his exploration. And Columbus definitely did not ask for $150 Billion in start-up costs!


Start Up: $150 Billion Dollars!!

Previously, we broke the news that OLPC's goal is $30 Billion dollars per year. But looking closely at the New York Times photograph of Nicholas Negroponte and Walter Bender, you'll see a white-board in the background.

And on that white-board you'll see a very interesting diagram: Start Up: $150 Billion, Steady State: $30 Billion

OLPC is estimating start-up costs of $150 Billion dollars!

Let's put that massive number into perspective. If OLPC obtained commitments of $150 Billion dollars, they would rank as Number 8 on the Forutne 500 list, between Citicorp, $131 Billion, and General Electric, $157 Billion, in annual revenues. At $150 Billion, OLPC would be three times the size of the entire US Department of Education's budget of $56 Billion, and it would utterly dwarf its parent; MIT's endowment is a paltry $8 Billion dollars in comparison.

The $150 Billion dollar target of OLPC would even dwarf the proposed budget for US military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, estimated to be $130 Billion dollars And that's the budget that Walter Bender whips out whenever he's asked to justify the astronomical fanciful hallucinatory One Laptop Per Child financial goals.

At $150 Billion dollars at start up, and $30 Billion dollars steady state, we sure better be asking about Negroponte's "boat"! The world's children do not want to find themselves far up debt creek without a paddle.

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Posted on November 29, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Countries: Argentina, Implementation: Plan

Now that Argentina has announced that it will be receiving 50 laptops now and 500 in December, it's time to revisit OLPC in Argentina by the numbers and see how the country might pay for the full one million Children's Machine XO purchase.


An Argentine Student

First, we take the conclusion of Alexander Piscitelli, General Manager of Argentina's Ministry of Education, Center of Technology and the main OLPC government counterpart, in an interview with Cecilia Bazán via a Google translation:

It would be necessary to every year buy a million, during 10 years. In addition, 850 thousand [children] enter every year to the educative system. You would have to always buy a million machines.
Then when we compare a one million annual laptop purchase to the Argentine education budget of $5.6 billion per year, we are all happy like. But if we look at the public expenditure on education minus teachers salaries, it's only $300 million. At least half of which would be required to buy computers for only 10% of the student body per year.

And now we wonder just how Argentina might afford a multi-million One Laptop Per Child purchase if its not going to be from the minuscule non-salary education budget? Nicholas Negroponte has the answer in his comments to Primició Clarín.com (via Google translation):

According to Negroponte, each laptop will cost between 130 and 150 dollars, to finance with credits of the Inter-American Development Bank (I.A.D.B.) and the World Bank.
Really now, Dr. Negroponte? Don't you mean $208, or $972 dollar laptops? Since OLPC XO's are only available in units of one million, that's a $208 million or $972 million dollar purchase price.

And wouldn't Argentina be the same country that has public debt of $118.2 billion, or 72.5% of GDP according to the World Fact Book? Doesn't Argentina owe the World Bank alone almost $3 Billion dollars in interest and charges from its last bail-out? Isn't it already borrowing $2 Billion from the IADB for other projects in 2006-07?

So how much more debt do you think Argentina should take on to buy OLPC XO's? And do you want them to spend it on your "magic"; the OLPC implementation miracle?

Before Argentina is saddled with yet more liability it can ill-afford, might it at least have the chance to conduct a limited OLPC implementation? Controlled pilot programs, tested with objective educational metrics, and employing sound pedagogical teaching structures? Best of all, in an affordable implementation, slowly scaled up to a million units over several years to refine and perfect its rollout?

Is that really too much to ask before indebting a nation's children?

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Posted on November 29, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Sales Talk: Countries, Sales Talk: Price, Countries: Thailand

November has not been a good month for OLPC Thailand. After Caretaker Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, who pushed the Children's Machine laptops as a way to replace books was removed by a military coup, we all knew that his programs, like OLPC, were at risk.

Then Thailand ICT Minister, Professor Sitthichai Pokai-udom announced that Thailand wasn't buying OLPC's on a grand scale in 2007, as envisioned by Prime Minister Thaksin.

Next, Education Minister Wijit Srisa-arn, presumably Dr. Sitthichai's boss, said "No" to One Laptop Per Child again, slamming all of Thaksin's technology in education programs.

And now according to Chris Preimesberger in eWeek:

Apparently, Thailand, which only a few weeks ago endured a political coup, no longer wants [the test OLPC XO's], "even at $100 per box," [Christopher Blizzard] added, directing blog readers to a story on the Bangkok Post Web site about the recent upheaval.

"This, by the way, has more to do with repudiating the last government's policy than open source," Blizzard added.

So that means, by my calculations from this photo, there are at least 40 OLPC Children's Machine XO's with no place to go. Even with Thai keyboards, and my utter inability to read Thai, let me be the first to say:
I'LL TAKE THEM ALL!!
I'll pay $100 for each of them, so $4,000 for the lot. Cash, check, PayPal, or even Western Union. And I'll even go up to Boston myself to pick the computers up (I have a Chinatown Bus standing by..).

Why? Because of the amazing demand to buy a OLPC via eBay XO sales for use in American educational systems. A demand heightened, whetted, and unquenched. I'll even pledge all profits to subsidize others; more Children's Machine XO-1's for students in the developing world.

If you, like me, want a OLPC XO-1, and would pay more than $100, with the mark-up going to subsidize laptops for poor children, add your order to the comments section below.

Of course I'll keep a few for testing to develop dozens of different uses for such amazing technology like Sugar, AbiWord, dual mode screens, and mesh networks. Testing and development in environments as diverse as Timbuktu or Vientiane or Sinjuku to push the OLPC XO-1's limits.

The limits of its use cases, of its roles in society, of its possibilities to democratize information. And of course the ability to run DOOM on the OLPC XO-1.

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Posted on November 28, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Content: Games, Software: Third Party

Now image you are the One Laptop Per Child software design team, and you've just received the very first order of Children's Machine XO's. Around a thousand pounds of laptops actually, and you wanna take one for a fun filled test drive.

You could play with all the software on them, like AbiWord or Sugar OS, or you could install new software you've developed just for this working model. Or you could do what Christopher Blizzard and friends did. You could install and play DOOM (the original) on the OLPC XO:

Continue reading "DOOM on the OLPC XO!"

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Posted on November 28, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Sales Talk: Countries, Countries: Thailand

While Thailand's Open Source community celebrated the recent turnaround of the Thai government's acceptance of OLPC, and it looked like OLPC Thailand sales were back on, Thailand ICT Minister Dr. Sitthichai was smart in hedging his enthusiasm with the reference to other decision makers. According to The Nation Education Minister Wijit Srisa-arn, presumably Dr. Sitthichai's boss, has decided to end Thailand's participation in developing the Children's Machine XO.

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Posted on November 27, 2006 by David in Software: Applications, Software: Third Party

Now that the first OLPC hardware has hit the mean(ish) streets of Cambridge, MA it's time to turn the spotlight onto the software and content. Like us, many of you will be wondering what software treats OLPC has in store for millions of the world's children. The first XO-1 machines out the door were far from polished products. They contained a number of place holder applications; programmes shoehorned in at the last minute to fill in gaps left by as yet unfinished Sugar modules - or to use OLPC parlance, Sugar "activities". Among these place holders is AbiWord which owes its place on the demo machines due to the unfinished state of Sugar's javascript based eBook activity.

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Posted on November 25, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Countries: Brazil, Sales Talk: Countries

While Pablo Mancini is excited about Children's Machine XO's in Argentina, Guilherme Felitti brings word that 65 OLPC laptops arrived in Brazil on Friday, November 24th.

In a grand ceremony with Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Nicholas Negroponte, and David Cavallo, the first working OLPC prototypes were introduced to Brazil. Guilherme has a OLPC Flickr set of all the action.

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Posted on November 24, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Countries: Argentina, Sales Talk: Countries

Thanks to the ever-vigilant Pablo Mancini, we now have word on One laptop Per Child's progress in Argentina. There, Nicholas Negroponte met with Argentinean President, Néstor Kirchner, Minister of Education, Science and Technology, Daniel Filmus and the head of Cabinet, Alberto Fernández on November 22. As a result, the Ministerio de Educación, Ciencia y Tecnología has announced (via a Google translation):
Argentina anticipates to have 50 units for demonstration in next the 15 days and that before year end can be counted on 500 prototypes to make a experience pilot.
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Posted on November 24, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Software: Operating System

Did you get all excited when you realized you could emulate the OLPC XO Sugar UI? Did you follow along with our emulated Sugar UI review? And did you want to see a longer video of the emulation?

Now you can! HarryBro has uploaded a very cool demo of the OLPC Sugar UI, onto YouTube:

Continue reading "OLPC Sugar UI Demo"

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Posted on November 24, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Sales Talk: Price

No matter that today is Adbuster's Buy Nothing Day, it is time to shop till you drop. It's Black Friday, America's true Thanksgiving tradition, the official start of the Christmas holiday shopping spree that will account for the majority of retail sales in the USA.

And thanks to amazing computer price wars between retailers, and Black Friday ads you can buy a $100 laptop at Circuit City.

Continue reading "$100 Laptops On Sale Now!"

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Posted on November 23, 2006 by in Software: Applications, Software: Operating System, Prototypes: XO

As the unofficial software geek of OLPC News it's fallen to me to write a proper review of the Emulated VMware version of the Sugar/OLPC GUI put together by Tom Hoffman (the Hoff?).

The OLPC Wiki contains instructions on how to get the best out of an emulation. The main point to note is the emulation will run slower to what you would find on the real thing.

Now, with that out of the way lets take a look at what's happening: VMware Player loads up a virtual Linux environment and eventually the Sugar desktop appears with the now familiar XO in the center of the screen. Moving the mouse pointer to any screen edge brings up the Sugar Border around the outside edges.

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Posted on November 23, 2006 by David in Sales Talk: Countries, Countries: Thailand

Just a few days ago, we reported that the future looked bleak for OLPC Thailand. It seemed that the project's close ties with Thaksin Shinawatra - the caretaker Prime Minister ousted in this years coup - coupled with the incoming ICT minister Professor Sitthichai Pokai-udom's apparent distrust of open source projects had put paid to the little green laptop's Thailand prospects. Not so it seems. Today we discovered that it may all have been a misunderstanding - the ICT minister thinks OLPC is great!

Continue reading "OLPC Thailand Sales Back On?"

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Posted on November 22, 2006 by Wayan Vota in People: Negroponte, Commentary: Press, Sales Talk: Price

James Surowiecki of MIT's Technology Review has a long article on One Laptop Per Child (Part 1, 2, 3) that inflates Nicholas Negroponte's ego to even greater heights by comparing his OLPC project to Andrew Carnage's libraries. It's only too bad that the comparison fails in at least one major aspect: funding.

While we'll politely overlook the aggressive robber baron methods Carnegie used to amass his wealth, at least he used that wealth to underwrite the majority of his libraries' costs. Nicholas Negroponte expects others to pay his entire $30 Billion dollars per year bill. "Others" he says are developing world governments, but might actually turn out to be unsavory or repressive states or developed world taxpayers.

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Posted on November 21, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Software: Operating System, Prototypes: XO

Now that One Laptop per Child (OLPC) has announced that the first 1,000 XO laptops have rolled off the assembly line at Quanta Computer's Changshu, production facility, we want one! We want one so bad; we're willing to buy an OLPC now!

Unfortunately, that will have to wait until there are Children's Machines on eBay, but until then, we can all get a little closer to our newest green friend: we can emulate the OLPC Sugar interface on Windows or Mac.

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Posted on November 20, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Sales Talk: Price, Prototypes: XO, Content: eBooks

The OLPC Wiki is an amazing resource for anyone wondering about the One Laptop Per Child program, its aims, goals, and benefits. It's also a great place to ask questions about the Children's Machine XO-1 and its educational benefits.

But that's not the route Henry Skelton took. He skipped right over the Wiki and its crowdsourcing wisdom and poised a question directly to the Open OLPC listserv. Looking at a strict cost comparison between books and laptops, Henry asked "How will the OLPC truly help education"?

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Posted on November 19, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Sales Talk: Countries, Countries: Thailand

I really wish there was a Thai-English auto-translator like the amazing Google Translate or Alta Vista's Bablefish. Then I could translate this Thairath website and understand better what is happening to One Laptop Per Child in Thailand.

As it is, we have to rely on Songphan Choemprayong, a Thai graduate student, for our Thai-centric OLPC news.

And the news from Choemprayong isn't pretty.

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Posted on November 18, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Commentary: Press

Silicon Valley provocateur John C. Dvorak in his Woefull Tale of the $100 laptop on Market Watch is calling One Laptop Per Child "a massive exercise in futility"..

He first questions the need for computing in the developing world:
To summarize, there are only so many hours in the day, and we should not be wasting them on this kind of naïve feel-good showboating. Let's face it: These high-tech gems are a laughable addition to a mud hut.
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Posted on November 17, 2006 by Wayan Vota in People: Negroponte, Implementation: Plan

While we wait with baited breath for the official OLPC Implementation Plan, we had an interesting glimpse of Nicholas Negroponte's vision of the plan at the Reunión Hemisférica de la Red de Educación, a policy dialogue between the Inter-American Development Bank and its borrowers.

There, the Ministers discussed "The implications of 1-to-1 computing models in Latin America and the Caribbean - One Laptop Per Child (OLPC)" with leading technology in education experts and the OLPC leadership.

Continue reading "An Implementation Miracle"

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Posted on November 16, 2006 by Jon Camfield in People: Negroponte, Commentary: Press, Countries: USA

The U.S. State Department's "Secretary's Open Forum" hosted Nick Negroponte, who spoke at GWU's Elliott School of International Affairs Wednesday morning. He quickly summarized the OLPC project and goals, addressed some of the more common criticisms, and moved quickly to questions from the room.

While the working prototype got caught in customs, he did mention exciting news about a Central American regional purchase and new developments in the mesh network.

Continue reading "OLPC in Washington, DC"

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Posted on November 15, 2006 by David in Prototypes: XO

Congratulations to the OLPC team. Against huge odds, the team in Cambridge and the wider OLPC development community have pulled it off. As we mentioned a day or so ago, the first ten XO machines were hand built by Quanta over the weekend. Now the first machine has arrived in OLPC's Cambridge offices and the team look stoked.

Continue reading "OLPC: First pictures"

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Posted on November 13, 2006 by Jon Camfield in Implementation: Maintenance, Sales Talk: Price

$30 Billion is just the beginning. The MOU with Libya unearths a cost of 250MM for the laptop hardware and basic implementation ($208/laptop). And this is just infrastructure -- the laptop, school servers, satellite Internet, and set-up costs (including a team of advisers). We're still missing key components for success of the OLPC experiment, what is the rest of the tab?

With not-really-so-hidden costs of training, maintenance and Internet connection, the cost of implementing an OLPC program skyrockets, almost quintupling the $208/laptop cost!

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Posted on November 13, 2006 by Wayan Vota in People: Negroponte, Sales Talk: Price

OLPC estimates that there are 1 billion 6-16 year olds in the developing world. If it were to equip every 6 year old, each year, OLPC would need 100 million Children's Machines (10% of 1 billion) and to replace each OLPC XO at 11 years old would add another 100 million. 200 million laptops would cost $20 Billion dollars, give or take a few hundred million dollars. Add in $10 Billion for infrastructure and OLPC estimates it would need around $30 Billion per to achieve its goal.

$30 Billion in income each year. $30 Billion Dollars!!

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Posted on November 12, 2006 by David in Hardware: Keyboard, Prototypes: XO

In yesterday's OLPC community news, Walter Bender confirmed that production of the first OLPC units has begun with the first 10 units having been hand assembled this week. A further 900 are due to be built in next week's B1 production run. Over to Walter:
[...] The team hand-assembled the first 10 units to evaluate the system's many custom components, to perform systems-integration testing, and to ensure that the production process is solid, all in preparation for next week's B1-Test build. Quanta will assemble 900 OLPC machines that will be used for destructive testing and distribution to our development partners. Our vision is a step closer to becoming a reality.

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Posted on November 10, 2006 by Wayan Vota in People: Leadership, Software: Operating System, Hardware: Power Supply, Hardware: Screen, Hardware: Wireless

You will love Mark J. Foster's presentation at Stanford EE Computer Systems Colloquium.

At the beginning of October, as the Vice President, Engineering and Chief Architect of One Laptop Per Child and a leading computer portables expert, Mr. Foster spoke in detail about the technology behind the laptop.

His speech is the most articulate and comprehensive explanation of the One Laptop Per Child program yet given. He makes complicated technology like reflective monochrome and transmissive color dual-mode displays easy to grasp for non-techies, yet intriguing for techno-geeks too.

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Posted on November 09, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Hardware: Screen, Prototypes: XO

Yesterday I attempted to do what so many other's have tried to do, render in pixels the full eye-catching hot properties of the One Laptop Per Child dual-mode laptop screen developed by Mary Lou Jepsen. And I tried to do it with a lowly Nokia 6682 no less.

To the right is my attempt, as bad as or worse than others. Maybe worse because watching Walter Bender switch the screen from full color backlit to flat black and white was so stunning that at first I forgot to photograph it.

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Posted on November 08, 2006 by Wayan Vota in Commentary: Press, Hardware: Screen, Prototypes: XO

Congratulations One Laptop Per Child! You've been chosen by the editors of Popular Science magazine as one of 100 breakthroughs of 2006 that merit the magazine's highest honor: a "Best of What's New" Grand Award for aOLPC XO Better Screen, Better World.

While you didn't win the coveted overall outstanding "Innovation of the Year," award, that went to the Hurriquake Nail, and you didn't win the Cooper-Hewitt National Design Museum's "People's Design Award", that went to the Katrina Cottage, the "Best of What's New" award is surely just the first of many awards you'll receive.

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